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    US may lost its ability to impose its will...



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    US may lose ability to impose its will


    WASHINGTON, Sept 15: Over the next 25 years, the United States is
    expected to retain its pre-eminence as a world power but Americans will
    become less secure and face the likelihood that many will die on US soil, the
    victims of terrorism, according to a new study released on Wednesday.

    The study, by a Pentagon-funded panel of experts, also concluded that over
    the next two decades, U.S. military superiority "will not entirely protect us"
    from threats, American dependence on foreign energy sources will grow, and
    some important states - left unnamed - could "fragment or fail."

    "Although a global competitor to the United States is unlikely to arise over
    the next 25 years, emerging powers - either singly or in coalition - will
    increasingly constrain U.S. options regionally and limit its strategic influence,"
    it said.

    As a result, the United States will have "limited ability to impose our will and
    we will be increasingly vulnerable to an increasing range of threats against
    American forces and citizens overseas as well as at home," it determined.

    LESS SECURE: Because future threats differ from the past, the panel
    determined, "for many years to come Americans will become increasingly less
    secure and much less secure than they now believe themselves to be."

    In this initial report, the panel chaired by former senators Warren Rudman, a
    Republican, and Gary Hart, a Democrat, described the world confronting the
    United States in the new millennium.

    In future reports, the experts will use this vision to develop a new U.S.
    national security strategy for the 21st century to replace one enacted in
    1947, before the Cold War and the collapse of Communism.

    The experts cautioned that while "the American moment in world history will
    not last forever," for the foreseeable future American leadership in the world
    is of paramount importance.

    In the financial area, the panel concluded that the economic future will be
    more difficult to predict and manage.

    While global economic growth will continue overall, "serious and unexpected
    economic downturns, major disparities of wealth, volatile capital flows,
    increasing vulnerabilities in global electronic infrastructures, labour and social
    disruptions, and pressures for increased protectionism will also occur," it
    said.

    OTHER PANEL FINDINGS: Among the panel's other findings:

    - An economically strong United States is likely to remain a primary political,
    military and cultural force through 2025. It will remain "the" principal military
    power.

    - Much of the world "will resent and oppose" the United States and reliable
    alliances will be more difficult to establish and sustain.

    - World energy supplies will remain largely based on fossil fuels and
    "American dependence on foreign sources of energy will also grow over the
    next two decades."

    - Weapons of mass destruction will proliferate, making the maintenance of a
    robust U.S. nuclear deterrent essential.

    - Some "important states" will not be able to manage the challenges now
    emerging and "could fragment or fail." New states, international
    protectorates and zones of autonomy, as now seen in Kosovo, will increase,
    many born of violence.

    - Weapons will likely be put in space. Space will become permanently
    manned.

    - Pressures will increase substantially for the United States to reduce its
    military presence in Europe and Asia.

    - New technologies will divide the world as well as draw it together. An
    anti-technology backlash is possible.

    - All national borders "will be porous; some will bend and some will break."
    Traditional bonds between states and their citizens, including in the United
    States, "can no longer be taken for granted."

    BIOLOGICAL WARFARE: The threat of an attack on US soil from biological
    warfare has increased in recent years as the intelligence community has
    discovered organisms grown in foreign laboratories aimed at disrupting
    agriculture, a US Department of Agriculture official said on Tuesday.

    "There is a continuing threat, both from the former Soviet Union and what
    remains in Russia."

    While Russia has the infrastructure and expertise, the concern was more
    about "proliferation of these programmes from the former Soviet Union into
    other rogue states where they are more likely to be used against us," he said
    at a seminar.-Reuters

    Jaawan

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    Till next time***K_I_S_S***


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